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Mikula Forecasting Company: Strategy #20: Moving Average 8 Lines

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Written by: Patrick Mikula CTA
Copyright (c)2003-06 by Patrick Mikula All Rights Reserved. (Please to not copy or foreword this article).

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This strategy discusses the MarketWarrior indicator Moving Average 8 Lines which will be referred to as MA8L. This indicator draws eight moving averages on a chart. The strategy for using this method is to watch for times when all the moving averages are grouped together in one tight group. The closer together all the moving averages are the better. This tight grouping of the moving averages indicates that the market is in a transition from up to down or down to up. This method does not identify the exact bar of a trend change it does identify the area where the market cycles are turning. The first chart below shows Gillette symbol G. In April at point A there was a tight grouping of all the moving averages. After this tight grouping of the moving averages the market broke upward and started a new up swing. This method identified the time in mid April when we would want to watch this market for a new change in trend to start.



The next chart shows Intel symbol INTC. The moving averages on this chart all grouped together at point A in late June. After this grouping of the moving averages there was the start of a new downward trend in Intel stock.



Below shows the chart for Johnson and Johnson symbol JNJ. This chart shows a tight grouping of all the lines in the MA8L indicator in late July. Soon after this tight grouping, the JNJ stock started a new up move.



The next chart shows J.P. Morgan Chase symbol JPM. This stock is a financial institution and is a completely different company than the previous chart showing Johnson and Johnson which is a health care and home products company. This chart has a very similar formation to the previous JNJ chart. In mid August all the lines draw by the MA8L indicator grouped together very tightly and the market started a new uptrend.




MORE:
To see more examples of the Moving Average 8 Lines indicator read the version of this article on the MarketWarrior owners page.




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